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Gun Control In The US

James D

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This recent mass shooting in Florida was terrifying. I'm in tears. My cousin's friend is one of the victims.

Sure enough, gun control will not by any means stop some psycho who has decided to end lives. But should it reduce the number of murders or at least act as a barrier to those mentally disturbed individuals to engage in killing, then gun control might still be considered.

No guns = Reduction in shootings and stupid life loss

On the other hand, there's the question of security. Gun control or not, people will still possess guns so one might argue that we should be allowed to have guns should we have to protect ourselves.

I have no idea. In my country, you are not allowed to have a gun unless you have some special permit. Very rarely has there been killing. But again, it's a miniscule country so it's unreasonable to compare it to US's case.

I guess I'm so sentimental about it because I heard how this tragedy ravaged my cousin's classmate's family.

James D
 

Oskar

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The link between anti-gun legislation and gun crime is by no means clear. There are states in the US with little gun-control and not a lot of gun crime, and then there are states with lots of fairly strict gun legislation and lots of gun crime. Ultimately, social conditions cause gun deaths, not the lack of laws against guns.

I own a couple of guns myself. Out here in the country they're kind of a necessity (home invaders, hostile wildlife, etc.)

However, I also openly oppose groups like the NRA and the Gun Owners of America. The first does not represent gun owners, but arms manufacturers and their political agenda. The latter is an ultraconservative group of reactionaries.

I grew up around firearms all my childhood and experienced first-hand the sort of mindset around guns that so baffles some non-Americans, namely the traditions associated with those people in rural areas for whom guns are an important part of life. It's not really entirely rational, there ARE "gun nuts" out there (I've met my fair share), but for the most part it's something that goes back hundreds and hundreds of years and isn't, in my opinion, inherently reactionary. It's a tradition that's taken extremely seriously in most cases, the passing down of firearms knowledge from one generation to the next, and it isn't all about protecting "muh property rights from the librahls and commies" or whatever.

At the same time I'm capable of seeing the opposing viewpoint on it. Guns are ultimately tools of death, and I'd like to see a world where weapons were broken down into plows or whatever (even though I admittedly like shooting guns). The USA is a country marked by a culture of violence and guns contribute to that. But at the same time the distrust of the common citizenry to own firearms seems to go hand-in-hand with a trust in the state to operate within the people's best interests, and I don't trust the state at all. I trust my neighbors more than I trust the cops or the military.

If I had to suggest a place to start for addressing gun violence in America, I' say we'd probably be best to focus on drug and gang related crime (i.e., ultimately approaching drug legality and regulation similar to Portugal https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Drug_poli ... servations , so there's no incentive for illegal drug trafficking), POVERTY (e.g. implementing a basic living wage, addressing the student debt crisis, nationalizing big pharma, etc.), racism, domestic violence, SUICIDE, drug and alcohol abuse, and other sources of violence. I don't see any direct, simple fixes here though. The culture of violence in America stems from systemic problems, so we ultimately need systemic solutions if we want to see any real change.
 

Franco

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The primary argument against removing guns (a.k.a. "gun control") is that it will prevent us from protecting ourselves from an authoritarian "dictatorship."

I've given this a lot of thought over the last year or so, and ultimately, I've come to the conclusion that I would prefer gun control -- and the removal of guns from citizens -- over allowing things to stand as they do.

My reasoning behind this is that our current system of democracy was supposedly established to prevent a dictatorship in the first place. Thus, if a dictatorship occurs and authoritarian rule transpires, the "system" (democracy, at least in the form the U.S. has given it) has already failed at that point, and ultimately the country will suffer massive consequences regardless of the status of gun control at that point.

The other thing to consider is how things differ today from how they were in the past. During the American Revolution, if you owned a musket, you were on equal terms with the firepower of the enemy's military (or your own military). In the case of civil unrest, you had an equal fighting chance against the military, which is exactly why the Americans won the revolutionary war: they had equal firepower but new tactics.

Today, that is not the case.

The military has developed missiles, ships, bombers, rockets, WMDs... weapons that far "surpass" the manpower of a "gun." Owning a gun no longer puts you on equal footing with the military -- it is simply a defensive item that is arguably better than a knife or bat against home intrusion. With this in mind, if a civil war were to break out, it wouldn't be about which homes own guns and which don't... it would be about which military personnel with the most access to "power" defect to the side of the citizens vs. which military figures defect to the side of the authoritarian leader. The citizens will have a minuscule role in the actual disposition of the battle.

In my opinion, since this is the current status of guns in the United States, it is not worth the inevitable (and random) losses that we are incurring with firearms. If the country fails and we somehow end up in an authoritarian state where the state/government holds more power than the people, then it will not be because of guns, and it will because of a flaw in the establishment of the government itself. One example here would be no term limits on Congress members; this is already posing a problem that is coming to light more and more in the current state of our country. Establishing term limits on Congressmen from the onset of our government's establishment would have been the correct play here.

If we focus on a system where dictatorship and authoritarian rule isn't possible in the first place, then we will not need the protection from the state or the government that every country with a failing system has needed up until this point.

Is this possible? Who knows. But working toward the ideal system with practical solutions is how I've always approached these topics.

- Franco
 

Mr.Rob

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Franco,

I lean pro gun rights (I'm sure being from the deep south has an influence on my thinking, so get 'r dun baby ;) ) and I do see your point on how in the past having guns put you on equal footing to combat dictatorships whereas now we're pretty much dead in the water (unless Elon Musk figures out how to manufacture nuclear warheads for the rich elite). That's a really good point that I don't think I've considered as of yet.

You know the argument for no gun control is if everyone had a gun then we'd kill these crazy gun wielders before they did much damage, aka stand your ground law. I personally think this is very idealistic and in reality if everyone had guns only a small % would have the training and mental wherewithal to actually take down these crazy massacre guys in the heat of the moment when its happening. We'd basically just have to get lucky that multiple trained gun enthusiasts are present with their guns when a crazy massacre goes down.

My question however is if we do get tight gun control and no one in America has guns anymore what about the blackmarket? If someone's desperate enough to plan to shoot 10-400 people in public like a real life GTA what's going to stop these guys from digging a bit deeper to buy a gun off the black market?

Perhaps it will change if we passed tight gun control laws but as it stands right now getting a gun off the black market is not all too difficult if you know some shady people.

Until that question is answered I personally still fall into the thinking that we need guns for personal protection to deter or defend oneself from those who acquire guns illegally.

You sound like you've put a lot of thought into, more so than me, so I'm curious as to your thoughts!

-Rob
 

Regal Tiger

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My thoughts and background on the issue:
I've not put a whole lot of thought or research into gun control itself, but have put a lot of thought into what causes these shootings:

I don't think having stricter gun control laws will help at all. Like Rob said above, there's still the blackmarket and thanks to the dark web just about anybody can get a gun if they want. That puts me, personally, at a disadvantage. I don't like that. Forget other people, I'm at a disadvantage if I don't have a gun and somebody else does. All I care about.

I'm also from the country and even though I wasn't big into hunting I still did grow up around people that were and people who like guns. It is a kind of tradition in places like where I'm from, as far as guns are concerned. Remember what happened when we tried to outlaw alcohol? Though, again, I admit I haven't looked into the issues too closely I can't help but think that there will just be a repeat of the prohibition. Only this time, instead of a tasty treat that can't be beat you're looking at a dangerous weapon.

In addition, outlawing something makes it taboo and psychologically speaking you're only going to push people into it more that way. We're already at a place, societally speaking, where men are more and more tempted to join gangs. I have put a lot of thought into why the country is going to shit and I firmly believe that men are in a drifting state. Men don't have any real role models to look up to anymore, we don't know what the fuck to do and we're being pussified to the point where we're no longer attractive to women.

These make men feel worthless. Like they're nothing, they have nobody and will never be anyone. But then you have thugs that come in and say 'hey man, you want to feel powerful?'

In such a vulnerable state can you blame people for turning that down? Everybody wants to feel powerful.

These mass shootings are just a way to claim back some power. I remember being in a place like that when I was in high school. I was picked on constantly and didn't have any friends. I wanted to kill everyone that made me feel that way, and almost did.

It's about being made to feel like shit, being made to feel powerless and worthless. It's about taking back control of your life and exacting vengeance. You convince yourself that it's justice, even. That the people around you deserve it.

Guns aren't going to change that. Men are still going to be pushed into feeling worthless and they will find ways to change that. Guns and mass shootings are only a symptom of the greater problem. Men feel worthless, useless and don't feel like they'll ever amount to anything. Change that and you'll fix the flashier issue of school shootings, in my opinion.


EDIT:
In addition, these men that feel worthless and will never amount to anything see the names and faces of other shooters everywhere. They're glorified by the media, in a way. Sure, it's all about exposing the pain but potential shooters aren't going to see that. All they see is that these other people are famous. And they want their 15 minutes of fame. They want to be heard and the only way to be heard is to become famous, to become important.

It's like suicide, people that commit suicide aren't trying to die. People who commit suicide just want the pain to stop. In a shooters twisted mind, it's the same thing. They're going to be heard when nobody around them cares at the moment.

But afterwards? Afterwards everyone will care. Everyone will know who they are. They're going to leave their mark on the world. It might be negative, but negative is better than nothing. Nothing is akin to having never existed at all. I think that's painful for men more than anything, to feel like you've not contributed anything at all. That you aren't remembered. Shooters are remembered though.
 

Bran D

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Firstly, sorry to hear about you cousin's friend, that sucks.

Now the problem is with the culture itself, not guns. Or more specifically certain sub-cultures. Vermont has some of the most relaxed gun control in the USA, and also has the lowest gun violence statistics (0.3 per 100k population, so about 2 a year). On the other hand, Illinois has very strict gun control, and Chicago continues to be riddled with violent gun crimes. It's not just the USA; Britain has a extremely higher voilent crime rate than the USA disputed having much stricter gun control, where as in Switzerland, the government basically hands out guns to citizens (train the properly in their usage of course), and this is little gun crime. Hence, when looking at violent gun crimes statistics, especially in the USA, one must remember that the majority of them (~80% in 2014, when you don't include suicide via gun statistics) are gang-related. Now personally, I couldn't care less if one gang shot up another gang. Both party chose to be part of the culture, and accept the risk of them get kill via others. Thus:

"No guns = Reduction in shootings(1) and stupid life loss(2)"

(1): True via logic, if no-one had guns, it would be impossible for people to shoot others. Unfornately, as other comments have pointed out, it is impossible to truly have no guns, as a black market and the underground community will exist in any society.

(2): Not true, since recent history has proven, violent crimes exist with or without guns.

Hence, we should be looking for a solution the will actually work. And it possible that is a different solution for Chicago then there is Washington D.C. (Which also has a gun voilence problem) however, the fact that so many people can exist in relationship with guns without a problem, means that restricting/banning guns will have little positive effect (Except to further certain people's agendas) while restricting/banning a right of many people; which we can all agree is a negative.

We also must consider that majority of violent gun crimes that are committed, are done so with hand guns, so the assault weapons ban that has been flying around in recent years would be friutless as well.

And of course, there is also the argument of the 2nd Ammendment the Franco pointed out. While you put out a good argument, at least on paper Franco, you fail to take into account the real-world factors the have occurred time and time again throughout history; one of the predominant factors being that the people with the social abilities to rise to a position in the government where they could potentially make it into an "authoritarian dictatorship" are motivated by greed and/or power lust. A good example of this that everyone would know is Hitler, who was motivated by his vision of expanding Germany's power, and creating a master race (essentially, a more powerful population in his eyes). Now, your argument hinges on the fact that this new government would use these nuclear bombs, rockets, WMDs etc. on it's population. However, that goes against the very art of war. While they might use some on a small portion of the population in a show of force to quell the average person from rebelling, it would be unwise for them to exercise the destruction of their own population and resources to the extreme you suggest as it undermines their power and ability to gather more resources from enemy lands. And as the studies from the US War College proved, in lue of the government declaring Total War on the US population (which would result in a Phyrric Victory), the US citizens armed with semi-automatic rifles still cannot be handled by the US military despite the military's technological advantages. To your other point, even in a non-dictatorship or non-authoritarian style of government, tyranny still exist. In America, we still had slavery 80 years after the Declaration of Independence was signed and a government was formed. More recently, for those who think that we have become culturally advance enough to not have these tyrannical actions taking place, what about the 120,000 American citizens who were arrested and imprisoned during WW2 based on the fact that they were Japanese/had Japanese heritage. Hence, protecting the US from dictatorship would prove ineffective because 1) a dictator would not inhiliate the very thing he draws his power from, and 2) because non-dictatorship/non-authoritarian governments still continue to commit acts of tyranny. (I'm not just picking on you Franco, but thus far you've been the only one to put forward arguments against guns that have been worth addressing.)

Of course, when it comes to mass shooting themselves as an isolated group of incidents, these are almost never gang related. What causes them then? Well, let's look at California: the state with the largest number of mass shootings, despite having some of the toughest, tightest gun control laws in the USA. How could this be? Well, currently there are 30,000 mentally ill people with guns in California (that are recognized, the true number is probably higher, but nigh impossible to test statistically), and there are only 33 people employed to make sure of the removal of these individuals guns... a bit one sided to say the least. Now, when you consider that of the mass shootings committed in America, over 80% were performed by people with mental illness, your answer becomes pretty clear. (Note, I am referring to mass shootings, not violent gun crimes in general. Many people confuse/deliberately use the statistics from US-wide total gun crimes to try to debunk this claim, as most gun crimes are not performed by the mentally ill, but mass shooting are.) That fact that there were only 9 mass shooting prior to O'Connor vs Donaldson, where involuntary commitment was first recognized as an infringement on a the individual's rights, and 141 afterwards also show a strong, to put it mildly, correlation between the number of mentally ill members in the public vs number of mass shootings. Hence, for mass shootings, the evidence points to not better gun control across the population, but rather the removal of guns from the mentally ill alone, or through the removal of the mentally ill from society. For the remaining percentage of mass shootings, Regal Tiger highlights a good point, so I won't cover that again.

Ultimately though, this problem has been blown way out of proportion. Over all the mass-shootings in US history, only 1,077 people have been killed. Against the current population of 323.1 million, that means that only 0.00000333% have been killed through mass shootings. More people have died in the last 38 years from lightning strikes, then from all of America's mass shootings. The US government would literally be prevent more deaths by covering the whole of the
US in a giant, rubber umbrella
then by trying to prevent mass shootings. The American public, and the people of the world (atleast in Australia where I'm currently at) have just been dupped by the media coverage of every mass shooting into thinking they are a big deal. So what I'm says James D is, go ahead, mourn the lost of your cousin friend, because that is truly unfornate; but don't lose too much sleep over the rampant loss of life at the hands of mass-shooters in America, because really, it just not a big of deal as the media would have you believe.
 
the right date makes getting her back home a piece of cake

Franco

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Gentlemen,

I'll attempt to address the points here that were likely to come up (and that I've already pre-meditated on, so none of this is new information for me to process here -- my personal opinion arose while still having all of this knowledge available to me). Keep in mind some of this hinges on my personal foresight for future outcomes, and if your personal foresight differs from mine, then we'll just have to agree to disagree.

Mr. Rob said:
My question however is if we do get tight gun control and no one in America has guns anymore what about the blackmarket? If someone's desperate enough to plan to shoot 10-400 people in public like a real life GTA what's going to stop these guys from digging a bit deeper to buy a gun off the black market?

When I look for solutions to problems like these, I'm not looking for 100% solutions. In life, there's really only probability -- there are hardly ever absolutes. So when I start taking things like the black market into consideration, I am not thinking "how do I deal with people using the black market to buy guns?" Instead I think, "how many lives did I save by forcing would-be shooters to use the black market (and thus getting caught doing so or being unable to obtain a gun otherwise)?" In other words, by forcing would-be shooters to have to obtain guns illegally, I've just increased the chance that a would-be shooter might get caught or be unable to obtain a gun in the first place, thus reducing any incidents that might arise from it. This is a mitigation tactic and not a total deterrence tactic.

Regal Tiger said:
I'm also from the country and even though I wasn't big into hunting I still did grow up around people that were and people who like guns. It is a kind of tradition in places like where I'm from, as far as guns are concerned. Remember what happened when we tried to outlaw alcohol? Though, again, I admit I haven't looked into the issues too closely I can't help but think that there will just be a repeat of the prohibition. Only this time, instead of a tasty treat that can't be beat you're looking at a dangerous weapon.

In addition, outlawing something makes it taboo and psychologically speaking you're only going to push people into it more that way. We're already at a place, societally speaking, where men are more and more tempted to join gangs. I have put a lot of thought into why the country is going to shit and I firmly believe that men are in a drifting state. Men don't have any real role models to look up to anymore, we don't know what the fuck to do and we're being pussified to the point where we're no longer attractive to women.

These make men feel worthless. Like they're nothing, they have nobody and will never be anyone. But then you have thugs that come in and say 'hey man, you want to feel powerful?'

In such a vulnerable state can you blame people for turning that down? Everybody wants to feel powerful.

These mass shootings are just a way to claim back some power. I remember being in a place like that when I was in high school. I was picked on constantly and didn't have any friends. I wanted to kill everyone that made me feel that way, and almost did.

Keep in mind my gun control decision arises not just from mass shootings, but just shootings in general (including criminal and gang-related). Less guns is going to result in less overall deaths simply because knives and bats are not going to be able to do as much damage in a short period of time. Guns allow for extremely high amounts of damage in a short amount of time.

This being said, if someone were to want to claim back power, then there would be a higher likelihood that they would attempt to do so with a knife or bat, thus resulting in maybe one or two deaths instead of 10-20. Again, this is mitigation, not deterrence.

Bran D said:
(1): True via logic, if no-one had guns, it would be impossible for people to shoot others. Unfornately, as other comments have pointed out, it is impossible to truly have no guns, as a black market and the underground community will exist in any society.

As mentioned above, my tactic is mitigation, not deterrence. If there are less deaths because there are less guns, then there is a net positive gain there. A "mentally ill" person pulling out a knife in a mall may be able to kill two people if he's quick and effective with the knife, but a "mentally ill" person with a gun will be able to mow down 5-10 with very little effort required.

Bran D said:
(2): Not true, since recent history has proven, violent crimes exist with or without guns.

Violent crimes will always exist because there are violent people. What matters most to me is how easily violent people have access to weapons that cause the most damage. If you make it difficult to access weapons that cause high damage, then you reduce the amount of violence capable by an individual. Mitigation over deterrence.

Bran D said:
Now, your argument hinges on the fact that this new government would use these nuclear bombs, rockets, WMDs etc. on it's population. However, that goes against the very art of war. While they might use some on a small portion of the population in a show of force to quell the average person from rebelling, it would be unwise for them to exercise the destruction of their own population and resources to the extreme you suggest as it undermines their power and ability to gather more resources from enemy lands.

I never said the weapons would be used! They might be -- and as you mentioned, they might be used sparingly just to show which side is stronger than the other. But if the authoritarian side still wields the stronger firepower and uses it to enslave the rest of the population, then does it really matter if they do mass killings? At that point, you've already arrived at a Hitler-esque situation and changed the country into a dictatorship, and ultimately, the country has fallen to the exact fate that the second amendment was supposed to protect against.

So yes, I agree that the authoritarian state would not use the weapons to kill off the entire citizen population. But they would attempt to obtain/use enough firepower to effectively "conquer" the opposing citizenship and essentially enslave them en masse.

Bran D said:
And as the studies from the US War College proved, in lue of the government declaring Total War on the US population (which would result in a Phyrric Victory), the US citizens armed with semi-automatic rifles still cannot be handled by the US military despite the military's technological advantages.

I would love to see the study conducted by the US War College. I find it hard to believe that a study can be conducted around this exact topic that replicates a real-world scenario. But it would be worth looking at.

There's no saying what would happen if a civil war broke out between the citizens and the government. There's literally tens of millions of variables at play there, but it's more likely that the variables with the biggest influence will have the largest effect on the outcome, and, as I mentioned earlier, it would depend heavily on who defects to which side.

Bran D said:
To your other point, even in a non-dictatorship or non-authoritarian style of government, tyranny still exist. In America, we still had slavery 80 years after the Declaration of Independence was signed and a government was formed. More recently, for those who think that we have become culturally advance enough to not have these tyrannical actions taking place, what about the 120,000 American citizens who were arrested and imprisoned during WW2 based on the fact that they were Japanese/had Japanese heritage.

These aren't viable examples because it's only considered authoritarian if the citizenship is completely against it. During these time periods, the US citizenship was united in their beliefs that (a) slavery was normal and accepted and (b) that any Japanese-American could be a threat to the country given the state of the world at that point.

So in this regard, our government was not an authoritarian government at the time; as a matter of fact, the government was most united with the will of the people during these times. It's actually during times of war (with other countries) that our nation has been the most united, and it's during times of "peace and prosperity" (like the past decade or two) that we have been the most divided.

Bran D said:
Of course, when it comes to mass shooting themselves as an isolated group of incidents, these are almost never gang related. What causes them then? Well, let's look at California: the state with the largest number of mass shootings, despite having some of the toughest, tightest gun control laws in the USA. How could this be? Well, currently there are 30,000 mentally ill people with guns in California (that are recognized, the true number is probably higher, but nigh impossible to test statistically), and there are only 33 people employed to make sure of the removal of these individuals guns... a bit one sided to say the least. Now, when you consider that of the mass shootings committed in America, over 80% were performed by people with mental illness, your answer becomes pretty clear. (Note, I am referring to mass shootings, not violent gun crimes in general. Many people confuse/deliberately use the statistics from US-wide total gun crimes to try to debunk this claim, as most gun crimes are not performed by the mentally ill, but mass shooting are.) That fact that there were only 9 mass shooting prior to O'Connor vs Donaldson, where involuntary commitment was first recognized as an infringement on a the individual's rights, and 141 afterwards also show a strong, to put it mildly, correlation between the number of mentally ill members in the public vs number of mass shootings. Hence, for mass shootings, the evidence points to not better gun control across the population, but rather the removal of guns from the mentally ill alone, or through the removal of the mentally ill from society. For the remaining percentage of mass shootings, Regal Tiger highlights a good point, so I won't cover that again.

Ultimately though, this problem has been blown way out of proportion. Over all the mass-shootings in US history, only 1,077 people have been killed. Against the current population of 323.1 million, that means that only 0.00000333% have been killed through mass shootings. More people have died in the last 38 years from lightning strikes, then from all of America's mass shootings. The US government would literally be prevent more deaths by covering the whole of the
US in a giant, rubber umbrella then by trying to prevent mass shootings. The American public, and the people of the world (atleast in Australia where I'm currently at) have just been dupped by the media coverage of every mass shooting into thinking they are a big deal. So what I'm says James D is, go ahead, mourn the lost of your cousin friend, because that is truly unfornate; but don't lose too much sleep over the rampant loss of life at the hands of mass-shooters in America, because really, it just not a big of deal as the media would have you believe.

As I mentioned earlier, I'm not only taking into account mass shootings. I'm taking into account ALL violence that resulted in death that involved a gun or guns. This number is much higher than 1,077.

In general, removing guns would certainly reduce the death toll of these "mentally ill people" mass shootings -- some of them straight up wouldn't have happened, and other ones would have been "multiple stabbings" with maybe one or two deaths. My goal here is still mitigation. If we can take that 0.00000333% number and further reduce it without any drawbacks, then why would we not take that option?

The problem here is that most people do not perceive the future as having "no drawbacks" without guns. We are stuck in a mindset that the second amendment is still is as functional as it was during the American Revolution. And while, to some degree, that is the case... it's not nearly the same as it was back then. Not even close.

If some of you guys think the second amendment will have the same effect as was demonstrated during the American Revolution, then we can probably just agree to disagree there. At that point, it's a question of "who has the better foresight as to what would happen in a civil war in the future?" And that's a question with so many variables that the argument could extend endlessly!

For me, at this point in time, it seems like homeowners with guns will play a relatively low role. And even if it did have a role, there's no telling whether or not it would help or hurt us in that situation (i.e. maybe a ton of citizens with guns would be bribed to defect to the authoritarian/military's side to protect their families and thus submit to rule under an authoritarian). So it's not a clear path to protection for our democracy.

I hope this clears up some of my points of view!

- Franco
 

Mr.Rob

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1,897
Franco,

Franco said:
When I look for solutions to problems like these, I'm not looking for 100% solutions. In life, there's really only probability -- there are hardly ever absolutes. So when I start taking things like the black market into consideration, I am not thinking "how do I deal with people using the black market to buy guns?" Instead I think, "how many lives did I save by forcing would-be shooters to use the black market (and thus getting caught doing so or being unable to obtain a gun otherwise)?" In other words, by forcing would-be shooters to have to obtain guns illegally, I've just increased the chance that a would-be shooter might get caught or be unable to obtain a gun in the first place, thus reducing any incidents that might arise from it. This is a mitigation tactic and not a total deterrence tactic.

I was not expecting that answer but I have to say I agree with your statement. Yeah your stance is basically pro-whatever prevents the most deaths statistically speaking and I have to agree that strict gun control could achieve that if implemented and carried out effectively. I think to make this work the black market itself would have to be better regulated or made much more difficult and more severe punishment for importing and getting access to guns as opposed to just making guns illegal, though I assume that the gun laws would account for this.

Nonetheless I still am pro gun rights mostly out of selfishness and don't really care about the overall death toll as long as I know I'm safe. Being a law abiding citizen these days I would feel endangered if I didn't have the choice to legally carry a gun around to protect myself if I did end up in a bad situation with someone who was not a law abiding citizen. In other words I don't want to put myself at a greater risk (not having a gun for protection) in an effort to put everyone else at a lesser risk of getting violently hurt (with adopted gun control).

A more practical to home example for me, a few years back this guy in my hometown stopped off at a gas station on a main highway in my city. A crackhead approached him in broad daylight to panhandle as the guy was pumping his gas and then ran up on him and stabbed him. If homie had a gun he could've pulled his gun and dettered or shot the guy before he had a chance to get close enough to do damage. When I think of gun control I just imagine me being in a situation like that.

I think the adage is like "you don't need a gun 99.99% of the time but when you do need a gun you need it really bad", or something like that.

Anyway this is a good discussion and a tough moral call from a political standpoint... Then again I guess I'm pro whatever makes America Great Again lol

-Rob
 

Regal Tiger

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Franco said:
Gentlemen,

Keep in mind my gun control decision arises not just from mass shootings, but just shootings in general (including criminal and gang-related). Less guns is going to result in less overall deaths simply because knives and bats are not going to be able to do as much damage in a short period of time. Guns allow for extremely high amounts of damage in a short amount of time.

No matter what you do, you're not going to get rid of guns when it comes to gangs. Kinda like how there's a war on drugs or whatever and it did just about nothing towards getting rid of drugs.

Because of that fact, when it comes to even mitigating deaths via guns, I believe that looking at shootings in general (if including serious criminals) isn't something that should even be considered. I watched a documentary about how gangs get their unmarked guns smuggled into the country, and are already illegal.

I don't remember any specifics so lemme go look that up really quick and I'll edit all of that to the bottom of this post.
EDIT: I went ahead and made a new post because I didn't know if anyone would have already looked at this post or not.

This being said, if someone were to want to claim back power, then there would be a higher likelihood that they would attempt to do so with a knife or bat, thus resulting in maybe one or two deaths instead of 10-20. Again, this is mitigation, not deterrence.

Not necessarily, you can look up just about anything on the internet nowadays. If people didn't have access to guns how many would go for something else, like bombs?

This is a question where I always try to go back to where I was when I was in high school. I wanted to cause serious damage. Gun was easier to get, yes, but if it wasn't available I would have learned how to build a bomb.

Sensationalism is what these kinds of people want, guns are sensational right now. But what if guns weren't sensational? What would make the news? I think that if you were to take away guns then you would suppress the damage at first, but not in the long run. There will be very intelligent and very disturbed people out there that will find a way. Once one person finds a way the media will cover it because it will be something worth covering.

Once covered the media will make sure to go over what happened and how they got what they needed. Once that information becomes public knowledge we're back to square one, in my opinion.

There's also the argument that guns have been around since the inception of the country and yet we didn't have as many mass shootings as we do today. That means that guns aren't the problem in my mind.

Keep in mind though that I'm only talking about mass shootings as I believe that cracking down on guns will only help the organized/underground criminal world, which includes gangs. As I pointed out, I don't believe it's possible to stop people from smuggling guns into the country, which is where their guns come from. They're unmarked and already illegal. Stopping legal guns does nothing to them except create more possible victims. So again, I don't think they count in my arguments at all and aren't worth considering.

Cracking down on people that can't pass a mental health screening though? I'm all for that.


 

Regal Tiger

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Regal Tiger said:
I don't remember any specifics so lemme go look that up really quick and I'll edit all of that to the bottom of this post.

Franco, here are some sources that I just Googled and read through:

1. Here's a graph with numbers of guns imported into the US
https://www.statista.com/statistics/215 ... y-country/

2. Some statistics about guns made in the US and guns exported/imported by the ATF
https://rocketffl.com/atf-firearm-manuf ... tatistics/



Then, as an additional point for both of us, this article talks about how guns smuggled from the US into Mexico show that banning firearms does nothing to stop organized criminals from getting them.

There's also this quote from the same article: https://www.azcentral.com/story/news/po ... 301238002/
Kopel blamed Mexico's strict gun laws for crime rates in the country, noting it bars citizens from owning guns for self-defense despite a constitutional right to do so.

He also disputed that weak gun laws in the United States are a major contributor to the problem. "Mexico’s crime rate has been lower at other times including when U.S. gun control laws were laxer than they are now," he said.

So, according to the US into Mexico article you could argue that making them harder to get in the United States would save more lives in other countries. But I would argue that they would just go somewhere else mentioning the illegal drugs the United States gets from Mexico.

At least this way we keep more people employed.


Last note; I can't find that documentary about the guns. It was on Netflix and couldn't find anything about it. But one last Google did turn up this lovely little article: https://www.nationalreview.com/2016/01/ ... t-scandal/

That article is about something I hadn't heard about before just a few minutes ago; Operation Fast and Furious. Apparently our Government had the beautiful idea to give guns to dangerous people so that they could track them. As usual they fucked it up gloriously. Our Government, the same government you want to round up all of our guns, is directly responsible for killing a lot of Mexican people.

That article illustrates another point of mine: you can't trust the Government to do jack shit besides line their own pockets with more money. If you task the Government with rounding up all of our guns I'd be scared as hell that half of the population would die within a fortnight. I'm obviously exaggerating but I seriously wonder, by how much? The United States Government, and I firmly believe any and all Governments, cannot be trusted with wiping their own asses, not even talking about something as potentially damaging as gun control.
 

Bran D

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I thinking Franco makes a very good, even if somewhat redundant, point when he says
Franco said:
Keep in mind some of this hinges on my personal foresight for future outcomes...
because in reality, this is were the argument is coming from; do you believe the removal of guns will do more bad than good in the future, if the government were to ban them.

Franco said:
Keep in mind my gun control decision arises not just from mass shootings...
That's what I had gotten from your response, and I respect that you looked at the big picture, rather than zeroing in on minor, but extreme, cases. (which is why I felt it worth my time to reply to your points in my post) However James D, OP, started by discussing mass shootings specifically, so I devoted the majority of my first responsible on that topic.

That being said, I believe I should now define for everyone what a mass shooting is. The federal definition of a mass shooting is: a single shooting incident in which at least four people (one of these may be the shooter themself) are killed. The reason this is necessary, is because in one sentence you state your opinion was formed not from mass shooting, and then in the next sentence referred to "knifes and bats" being inferior at dealing damage as quickly than guns, which would only be a factor in a scenario where there is a large amount of potential targets to be inflicted with that damage, which would result in a mass shooting. Hence, since your decision aren't formed from mass-shootings, but rather in the much wiser way of looking at the issue as a whole, I assume you have other reasons for why you feel that guns aren't a good idea in the majority of the public' possession.

"Less guns is going to result in less overall deaths simply because knives and bats are not going to be able to do as much damage in a short period of time. Guns allow for extremely high amounts of damage in a short amount of time.

This being said, if someone were to want to claim back power, then there would be a higher likelihood that they would attempt to do so with a knife or bat, thus resulting in maybe one or two deaths instead of 10-20."

A valid point especially when you look at the homicide by weapons statistics in the USA, however, it leads to an interesting point. Hand guns have a significantly higher rate of homicide than any other weapon, gun or not. For example, for the ~11,900 komicides in 2014 in he US, over 5,500 were committed by hand guns. Rifle of any kind, shotguns, and "other guns", were responsible for only ~600. Knives and blunt objects (the group "bats" fit into) on the other hand, were responsible for ~2,000. Personal weapons (hands, feet, knees, etc.) were responsible for 660. What we gain from this is 1) Hand guns are used most frequently, and 2) more people are being kneed to death than are being killed with other guns types, and way more people are being stabbed or bludgeoned. Hence, when considering actual statistics, your logic should read. "Less handguns is going to result in less overall deaths simply because knives and bats are not going to be able to do as much damage". From this we can gather that if the government removed all handguns, there would be less deaths. However, because handguns are no longer available, it is reasonable to believe that other guns homicide rates will increase to compensate. Hence, these should be banned as well. Thus far you argument seems reasonable, but you fail to into account that gun aren't killing more people because they are particularly deadly, but rather that people are using the most effective weapons to kill people enmass. This is sad, because your otherwise good point is undermined by the fact that cars are also a good weapon for killing embassies like you stated, which will lead to they're eventual ban, and since soap can easy be fashioned into a deadly bomb, that needs to go as well (there are tons of other examples of things as well). Hence, while I agree that regressing to an age where everyone had to walk around, and smelt really bad would reduce the risks, I personally am okay with living with the risks, and still have my car and soap.

Franco said:
What matters the most to me is how easily violent people have access to weapons that cause the most damage

This is erroneous, because, as previously discussed, it is directly opposising the fact that your view comes from a much broader look than just at high casualty incidents.

Franco said:
I never said that they would be used
Yes, but those in favor of using the 2nd Amendment to support their views, come from the position that they would not fold as easily as you in the situation, and would either have to be forcibly capture and detained/killed, or the would die protecting the country from the authorian government. Personally, I think the majority are full of it, and I'm sure many would end up just submitting and living begrudgingly under the dictator's rule, however, until that time comes, if it comes, we will just have to take their word that they will live up to their spoken ideals. Hence, if they will continue to attack with such masses, the dictator would be force to either spend time and resources removing the threat slowly (unwise as this leaves him open to attacks from outside the US, thworting his plan) or use the weapons you mentioned. (Of course, in reality he would many more options, but without the specific detail, hence without it actually happening, any further conjecture into possible courses of action is futile at best)

Franco said:
I would love to see the study conducted by the US War College.

I'm on my way to work now, and it took me ages to find it on google the first time (I, like yourself, had also investigated this question on gun control prior to this thread's creation) For now, I'll link you to the video that I first was made aware that this study existed: https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=U-ZAj7K3R_g , and I'll try to find the study again and post a link tomorrow morning. Although I agree with you logic, that the study is largely an exercise in conjecture, as defection is impossible to calculate accurately,

Franco said:
These aren't viable example because it's considered authoritarian if the citizenship is completely against it.

At the time of Hitler's reign, many Germans supported his cause, and yet it is only common sense that the Jews and other sects would see this as tyranny; in such a way as justifying treason and turning arms on Hilter and his men. The complete population being against the government ideals does not dictate if it is an authoritarian government at the time, nor the viablity of those examples. The fact is, should a dictator rise to power, especially in our current governmental system, a large group of the population would probably support him.

Now, if your suggesting that through popular opinion these actions were not morally wrong, then that is a point that can be discussed, but would detract from the purpose of this thread. (I won't join y'all on that one though, because debating on morals is generally useless, since morals are subjective)

Franco said:
As I mentioned earlier, I'm not only taking into account mass shootings. I'm taking into account ALL violence that resulted in death that involved a gun or guns. This number is much higher than 1,077.

True. It was actually ~33,000 in 2013. Of course over 60% of these (~21,000) were suicides, which nosedives that number, as we can assume that they were going to find a way to kill themselves anyway. And there are accidents, which reduces the number even more, leaving just an exact total of 11.208 homicide victims from guns annually. A good statistic to know, and I'll come back to it in a second.

Franco said:
We are stuck in a mindset that the second amendment is still is as functional as it was during the American Revolution. And while, to some degree, that is the case... it's not nearly the same as it was back then. Not even close.

Since I was not alive when the founding fathers wrote the second amendment, I could not say what their intentions were, or how functional it was. I do know however, that it was not very functional during the American Revolution (1775-1783) however, as it wasn't adopted until 1791...

That being said, I personally do not use of the 2nd Amendment as an effective argument because, as you pointed out it is subjective, and ultimately an arguement from authority. It is like when Christians Leviticus 18:22 as an argument against homosexual marriage, the argument is ineffective because the homosexuals don't recognize the text as important. In the same way, those who use the 2nd Amendment as a counter to gun control are often wasting there breath because the opposition party doesn't recognize it's importance.

I agree that an argument on that topic could extend endlessly!

Franco said:
My goal here is still mitigation

That is a wise goal, and one I wish more people would truly take. Seeming that we will never prevent all death (at least in the foreseeable future) I agree we should take action to mitigate it as much as we can. However, remember, only 11,208 homicides annually from guns? Well, 2,626,418 people die each year in the US alone, making violent guns crimes -mass shootings, premeditated homicide, all of it- responsible for 0.00426% of America's annual death toll. This means in a 1st world country where anti-biotics are not in short demand, more people are dying of septicemia than guns! Now, if you personally have a problem with guns for some emotional reason, I can at least understand why you would support their banishment. However, if you are taking this from a non-emotional, logical view point, the time, resources, and mental brainpower that is being used to protest current gun control is obviously not being wisely spent, if the true intitention is to mitigate the loss of human lifes. They could be spent elsewhere; to cure cancer, heart disease, even the common cold kills more people! Heck, if mitigation is truly something you value, I would suggest protesting legal abortion, as over 652,600 are preformed in the US annually. At the end of the day, while it is a pity those 11,208 go, it is foolish to fight among ourselves (I mean as a nation, not here where we are simply discussing views) over something so minimal when we could be preventing so much more lose of life!



If some of you guys think the second amendment will have the same effect as was demonstrated during the American Revolution, then we can probably just agree to disagree there. At that point, it's a question of "who has the better foresight as to what would happen in a civil war in the future?" And that's a question with so many variables that the argument could extend endlessly!

For me, at this point in time, it seems like homeowners with guns will play a relatively low role. And even if it did have a role, there's no telling whether or not it would help or hurt us in that situation (i.e. maybe a ton of citizens with guns would be bribed to defect to the authoritarian/military's side to protect their families and thus submit to rule under an authoritarian). So it's not a clear path to protection for our democracy.

I hope this clears up some of my points of view!

- Franco[/quote]
 

Hector Papi Castillo

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As Oskar points out, the statistics aren't quite clear on tough gun Laws = decreased violence or lax gun laws = increased violence, but it's the freedom to have that protection which is important. Consequentialist paradigms are in direct violation of the Constitution's spirit. The constitution was created to protect "God-given rights," and we've decided on quite a few of those. Even if having more guns DID increase violence, it won't change humanity's capacity violence and we would still kill each other by other means. Whether or not there's a net increase in safety if there are strict gun-laws is irrelevant. I've shot a few guns, grew up around rednecks with guns, and have had a shotgun blasted near me to scare me and then pointed at me and my friends who were ding-dong-ditching. He was right to do what he did, even though we weren't burglars and one of us could have been killed because of a stupid prank. If I had some extra money, I'd definitely have a cool home in Texas and load up on guns (though I'd have to completely cut-off alcohol to avoid any "Hector gets depressed and blows his head off" incident...which I am trying to cut down on and have been quite successful).

So, self-evident rights > any safety concerns. We're a country of sex and violence and are built on many values, including violence and violent revolution. That's the way it is and the way it is for every country. We are mass of cruelty and kindness.

As for protecting ourselves from a tyrranical government. Well, an assault rifle might help me defend myself against a squad of soldiers armed to the teeth, and even if I might lose, that resistance would cause concern for the oppressive government, if it ever came to it. We'd lose, sure, but it's still worth it to have the extra fight. Also, improved technology doesn't secure the victory. Iraq and Afghanistan is a stalemate, even if we outgunned them. Urban warfare can cause trouble for the invader unless the invader is willing to MOAB an entire neighborhood. ISIS did get quickly wiped out when we loosened the terms of engagement, but an oppressive government wouldn't have a lot of people to oppress if they carpet bombed them. Mutually assured destruction...or in this case, mutually ensured lack of governance. We fight them, kill large amounts of soldiers, and they lose their sheep by murdering them all. Or, alternatively, "we the people" win.

Thus, via the Constitution and my tyrannical government argument (if we lose so be it, but we still put up a good fight and probably deter a fight in the first place by being so willing to sacrifice everything), moar guns = moar guud.

Alternatively, here's my argument.

not_nuff_dakka_by_revampednight.jpg



dakka_by_khaotixdemon-d2yekrh.jpg


Hector
 

Franco

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Mr. Rob said:
Nonetheless I still am pro gun rights mostly out of selfishness and don't really care about the overall death toll as long as I know I'm safe. Being a law abiding citizen these days I would feel endangered if I didn't have the choice to legally carry a gun around to protect myself if I did end up in a bad situation with someone who was not a law abiding citizen. In other words I don't want to put myself at a greater risk (not having a gun for protection) in an effort to put everyone else at a lesser risk of getting violently hurt (with adopted gun control).

Haha, I respect this opinion Rob! At least in this case, you're acknowledging the trade off of death toll vs. safety, so that's an argument that's purely based on preference rather than potential outcomes. To be fair, I was mostly pro-gun by default growing up because I lived in a conservative household, but I've also never owned a gun, and I had never really thought deeply about this topic until the last year or so. I've arrived at so many answers for other things in my life that I decided I wanted to arrive at an answer for this as well.

I've gathered plenty of information on this topic and spent a lot of introspective time reflecting on it (as well as future outcomes) based on keeping things the way they are or changing them. And this is the conclusion I've come to... unless of course someone on this thread can present some new information that would completely blow my mind and change my perspective! ;)

Regal Tiger said:
Not necessarily, you can look up just about anything on the internet nowadays. If people didn't have access to guns how many would go for something else, like bombs?

This is a question where I always try to go back to where I was when I was in high school. I wanted to cause serious damage. Gun was easier to get, yes, but if it wasn't available I would have learned how to build a bomb.

This argument still falls within my "mitigation but not deterrence" argument scope. Technically, you could have just said to me, "well if I wanted to shoot people, I would just MAKE a gun." Well, okay! If you're so determined to shoot people that you're willing to spend hours learning how to manufacture your own gun in your own household (without being discovered by friends, family or police, mind you), then nothing is going to stop you from doing so. And maybe you'll get the job done and shoot up a high school.

But not every person who has owned a gun and killed someone has that kind of determination or intelligence. You're taking your individual determination and thoughts and overlaying them onto others. There are plenty of less-capable people out there who have killed a person with a gun, and had they not been able to purchase a gun in the first place, they wouldn't have the know-how to create a "bomb" or "gun" from scratch. If they were determined to do harm, they would likely do so in a route that would be more difficult to cause mass damage. So in that scenario, it's still a case of "mitigation" instead of "deterrence" since we have now prevented multiple extra deaths.

There's also the argument that guns have been around since the inception of the country and yet we didn't have as many mass shootings as we do today. That means that guns aren't the problem in my mind.

We also have a bigger population, more access to guns (many of which are automatic, which didn't exist many years ago), a much larger political divide, and plenty of internal conflict. Comparing certain aspects of the past to the present doesn't necessarily alleviate the problems of today. This was evident in my first example about the American Revolution: if you owned a musket back then, you were on equal footing with the military. Owning an assault rifle today does not put you on equal footing with a tank, or a missle, or a jet fighter.

Keep in mind though that I'm only talking about mass shootings as I believe that cracking down on guns will only help the organized/underground criminal world, which includes gangs. As I pointed out, I don't believe it's possible to stop people from smuggling guns into the country, which is where their guns come from. They're unmarked and already illegal. Stopping legal guns does nothing to them except create more possible victims. So again, I don't think they count in my arguments at all and aren't worth considering.

This is a reasonable argument. Gangs are already committing illegal activities regularly, so adding one more "illegal" activity to their list (purchasing illegal guns) isn't going to change much for them. That being said, outlawing guns in the United States would obviously hurt gun manufacturers and cause many of them to close down, lowering the amount of total guns available to the black market (which is where gangs are getting their guns from). So while gangs would still go for guns, there would be less of them in total, and it would reduce the number of gangs with access to guns.

Last note; I can't find that documentary about the guns. It was on Netflix and couldn't find anything about it. But one last Google did turn up this lovely little article: https://www.nationalreview.com/2016/01/ ... t-scandal/

That article is about something I hadn't heard about before just a few minutes ago; Operation Fast and Furious. Apparently our Government had the beautiful idea to give guns to dangerous people so that they could track them. As usual they fucked it up gloriously. Our Government, the same government you want to round up all of our guns, is directly responsible for killing a lot of Mexican people.

This was just a terrible idea from the beginning, haha! :p

Bran D said:
A valid point especially when you look at the homicide by weapons statistics in the USA, however, it leads to an interesting point. Hand guns have a significantly higher rate of homicide than any other weapon, gun or not. For example, for the ~11,900 komicides in 2014 in he US, over 5,500 were committed by hand guns. Rifle of any kind, shotguns, and "other guns", were responsible for only ~600. Knives and blunt objects (the group "bats" fit into) on the other hand, were responsible for ~2,000. Personal weapons (hands, feet, knees, etc.) were responsible for 660. What we gain from this is 1) Hand guns are used most frequently, and 2) more people are being kneed to death than are being killed with other guns types, and way more people are being stabbed or bludgeoned. Hence, when considering actual statistics, your logic should read. "Less handguns is going to result in less overall deaths simply because knives and bats are not going to be able to do as much damage". From this we can gather that if the government removed all handguns, there would be less deaths. However, because handguns are no longer available, it is reasonable to believe that other guns homicide rates will increase to compensate. Hence, these should be banned as well. Thus far you argument seems reasonable, but you fail to into account that gun aren't killing more people because they are particularly deadly, but rather that people are using the most effective weapons to kill people enmass. This is sad, because your otherwise good point is undermined by the fact that cars are also a good weapon for killing embassies like you stated, which will lead to they're eventual ban, and since soap can easy be fashioned into a deadly bomb, that needs to go as well (there are tons of other examples of things as well). Hence, while I agree that regressing to an age where everyone had to walk around, and smelt really bad would reduce the risks, I personally am okay with living with the risks, and still have my car and soap.

Haha, this is obviously a good point and similar to the argument Regal Tiger made above saying, "if I didn't have a gun, I'd just make a bomb."

It's still a mitigation tactic to remove guns. Guns are built specifically for the purpose of killing quickly and doing so accurately and efficiently. They serve no other purpose. Cars are for transportation. Soap is to wash your hands. Your ironer in your closet is for ironing your clothes.

Can all of these things be used to commit murder? Of course. But none of them can do it nearly as easily and effectively as a gun can. And most of the other methods require a degree of knowledge or skill as well as weak or unaware opponents to actually inflict any serious levels of harm.

I want to remove objects that make killing easier. This is exactly what assault rifles do. This is exactly why a shooter was able to sit safely in a hotel room in Las Vegas and gun down 50+ people without any immediate way to prevent that level of damage.

Mitigation, mitigation, mitigation.

This is why the left-wing can never win their stance against the right-wing when it comes to weapons. Their stance is always, "if there's a death, then it's a problem." Logically, you cannot prevent all deaths from those who are out to seek violence and murder. But you can lower the total death toll by giving citizens less access to the means by which they can commit more extreme crimes.

Yes, but those in favor of using the 2nd Amendment to support their views, come from the position that they would not fold as easily as you in the situation, and would either have to be forcibly capture and detained/killed, or the would die protecting the country from the authorian government. Personally, I think the majority are full of it, and I'm sure many would end up just submitting and living begrudgingly under the dictator's rule, however, until that time comes, if it comes, we will just have to take their word that they will live up to their spoken ideals. Hence, if they will continue to attack with such masses, the dictator would be force to either spend time and resources removing the threat slowly (unwise as this leaves him open to attacks from outside the US, thworting his plan) or use the weapons you mentioned. (Of course, in reality he would many more options, but without the specific detail, hence without it actually happening, any further conjecture into possible courses of action is futile at best)

This is all correct.

Unfortunately, I always fall on the side of "realism" over "idealism", and I have a very high understanding of people and how they act in given situations, so I don't trust the second amendment believers to actually do the "noble" thing and fight to the death with the military when their family members' lives are at stake. Most people will do what is necessary to protect their own life and the lives of their family members, including submitting to the rule of an authoritarian figure who obviously has complete power over them in a situation where resistance is ultimately futile.

I'm on my way to work now, and it took me ages to find it on google the first time (I, like yourself, had also investigated this question on gun control prior to this thread's creation) For now, I'll link you to the video that I first was made aware that this study existed: https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=U-ZAj7K3R_g , and I'll try to find the study again and post a link tomorrow morning. Although I agree with you logic, that the study is largely an exercise in conjecture, as defection is impossible to calculate accurately,

I'll take a look at this when I get a chance! I'm genuinely curious how this study was conducted and what results they came to. Thanks for sharing. :)

At the time of Hitler's reign, many Germans supported his cause, and yet it is only common sense that the Jews and other sects would see this as tyranny; in such a way as justifying treason and turning arms on Hilter and his men. The complete population being against the government ideals does not dictate if it is an authoritarian government at the time, nor the viablity of those examples. The fact is, should a dictator rise to power, especially in our current governmental system, a large group of the population would probably support him.

In this scenario, Hitler was only authoritarian to Jews, and he was a "leader" to Germans. Keep in mind authoritarian is ultimately a subjective term as there is no "factual" way to define a man as authoritarian other than by the opinion of others. So to Germans, there was no foul play here. To Jews, Hitler was as evil as it gets.

Now, if your suggesting that through popular opinion these actions were not morally wrong, then that is a point that can be discussed, but would detract from the purpose of this thread. (I won't join y'all on that one though, because debating on morals is generally useless, since morals are subjective)

Correct -- this would come down to the subject of morality, which is subjective in and of itself, and not worth discussing for this debate. :)

That is a wise goal, and one I wish more people would truly take. Seeming that we will never prevent all death (at least in the foreseeable future) I agree we should take action to mitigate it as much as we can. However, remember, only 11,208 homicides annually from guns? Well, 2,626,418 people die each year in the US alone, making violent guns crimes -mass shootings, premeditated homicide, all of it- responsible for 0.00426% of America's annual death toll. This means in a 1st world country where anti-biotics are not in short demand, more people are dying of septicemia than guns! Now, if you personally have a problem with guns for some emotional reason, I can at least understand why you would support their banishment.

This is an extremely valid point, and it's where I'll get to the most selfish part of my argument: while you can argue that the death toll increase is relatively irrelevant in terms of total deaths, it's the randomness of which individuals that are involved that disturbs me the most.

I can walk outside in one of the safest places in San Diego, today, and one shooter could immediately end my life. Many other lives that would have otherwise been fine have also ended this way (i.e. the shooter in Santa Barbara).

While you are obviously taking a higher risk of being a victim of violence by living in poverty-stricken areas, I would like to think that my own personal safety isn't at risk when I choose to live somewhere where gun violence is almost non-existent. However, as has been shown by many of these shootings, nowhere is really safe. And while I don't live in constant paranoia of getting shot, it does bother me that it's something I have to even worry about at all, and it bothers me that other people (and parents) have had to suffer simply because an individual had access to a gun for violence rather than some less extensive means. Had that individual not had access to a gun, maybe he would have done something else instead, and only 1 or 2 lives were lost instead of 10-20.

This still falls within mitigation. The left-wing's argument is that "every life matters" and the right-wing's argument is that "civil rights matter." I have already (relatively) proven here that "not every life can be saved" and that "civil rights don't guarantee a pleasant future." Both arguments have flaws, so I'm looking to address the flaws on both sides in a way that essentially results in best outcomes for everyone.

However, if you are taking this from a non-emotional, logical view point, the time, resources, and mental brainpower that is being used to protest current gun control is obviously not being wisely spent, if the true intitention is to mitigate the loss of human lifes. They could be spent elsewhere; to cure cancer, heart disease, even the common cold kills more people! Heck, if mitigation is truly something you value, I would suggest protesting legal abortion, as over 652,600 are preformed in the US annually. At the end of the day, while it is a pity those 11,208 go, it is foolish to fight among ourselves (I mean as a nation, not here where we are simply discussing views) over something so minimal when we could be preventing so much more lose of life!

This is fair to say! In terms of resource allocation, if "gun control" resource allocation is doing less to save lives than, say, "cancer cure" resource allocation, then obviously resources must be allocated appropriately. But I think the goal for "gun control" should remain the same as "cure cancer," which is to save lives.

Hekky,

Hector Castillo said:
but it's the freedom to have that protection which is important. Consequentialist paradigms are in direct violation of the Constitution's spirit. The constitution was created to protect "God-given rights," and we've decided on quite a few of those.

Right, but by making the claim that we need to remove guns from citizens, I'm already critiquing the Constitution anyway. Essentially, I am rejecting an aspect of the Constitution as being "da wae" (the right way) for things to be done. So while our founding fathers decided on a few of those, they certainly weren't my way of doing these things. I was simply born into the situation!

Even if having more guns DID increase violence, it won't change humanity's capacity violence and we would still kill each other by other means. Whether or not there's a net increase in safety if there are strict gun-laws is irrelevant.

Ok, but this is subjective, is it not? It's irrelevant to you but it's not irrelevant to me and it's definitely not irrelevant to left-wingers, lol.

I see a future with a net increase in safety with near-zero drawbacks... so to me, that's extremely relevant. I'm always for optimizing systems, and I see a way to optimize the current system.

So, self-evident rights > any safety concerns.

Again, subjective, and also not taking things on a case-by-case basis. This is another thing right-wingers like to argue: if I'm against owning guns, somehow I'm against ALL civil rights. This is not the case! I am simply against this individual case of "rights" bestowed upon us by the Constitution. After much deliberation, I have decided that this particular right has done our population more harm than good, and I have also decided that this particular right will not serve the purpose that it was supposedly established for. In the United States of America version 2.0, I would remove this right from the Constitution 2.0.

As for protecting ourselves from a tyrranical government. Well, an assault rifle might help me defend myself against a squad of soldiers armed to the teeth, and even if I might lose, that resistance would cause concern for the oppressive government, if it ever came to it. We'd lose, sure, but it's still worth it to have the extra fight.

Again, subjective.

As I mentioned above, with most people, the lives of family members will matter more than the "noble fight" itself. So a man armed with a gun would be more likely to surrender to protect not only his own life but the lives of his loved ones. He might even be put under duress and forced to fight for the opposing side to prevent their deaths, and in that scenario, we've just added another "gun wielder" to the enemy side.

My point behind this is that there's really no telling what circumstances would arise with the millions of variables at play, including the behavior of citizens with weapons. So the trade we are currently making is this: guaranteed additional deaths of the lives of innocent people today for the (very large) gamble that citizens owning firearms will somehow have a positive effect tomorrow should a tyrannical government arise.

I'm not taking that gamble. Protect more innocent lives today.

(EDIT: Also, don't build a "flawed" government and then attempt to band-aid it with things like, "well if our system fails, at least we have guns to fight it out!"

Instead, find the flaws in the system so that you can correct them and never end up in that situation in the first place. That was the initial goal of the founding fathers, was it not? Build the ideal government? Or at the very least, get as close to it as possible. So let's try to get closer to that.)

Also, improved technology doesn't secure the victory. Iraq and Afghanistan is a stalemate, even if we outgunned them. Urban warfare can cause trouble for the invader unless the invader is willing to MOAB an entire neighborhood. ISIS did get quickly wiped out when we loosened the terms of engagement, but an oppressive government wouldn't have a lot of people to oppress if they carpet bombed them. Mutually assured destruction...or in this case, mutually ensured lack of governance. We fight them, kill large amounts of soldiers, and they lose their sheep by murdering them all. Or, alternatively, "we the people" win.

A good point, and one that Bran D essentially made above.

The oppressive government would cause enough death and destruction to achieve their goal. If they aren't willing to kill anyone, then it doesn't sound like much of an oppressive government, right? I'm not scared of an "oppressive" government that apparently does not want to commit violence.

My guess, as I mentioned earlier, is that an oppressive government would kill enough people (both innocent and otherwise) to make the enemy surrender. If the citizens continue to fight back, then so will the oppressive government. So in either case, we either get a big "L" for "Loss" when we surrender, or we get something closer to mutually-assured destruction in which both sides suffer innumerable casualties. Neither sounds too good for me.

Thus, via the Constitution and my tyrannical government argument (if we lose so be it, but we still put up a good fight and probably deter a fight in the first place by being so willing to sacrifice everything), moar guns = moar guud.

Thus, via the argument of the Constitution being flawed and the tyrannical government still causing the same amount of harm, moar guns = moar deaths. =P

- Franco
 

Regal Tiger

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Franco said:
This argument still falls within my "mitigation but not deterrence" argument scope. Technically, you could have just said to me, "well if I wanted to shoot people, I would just MAKE a gun." Well, okay! If you're so determined to shoot people that you're willing to spend hours learning how to manufacture your own gun in your own household (without being discovered by friends, family or police, mind you), then nothing is going to stop you from doing so. And maybe you'll get the job done and shoot up a high school.

But not every person who has owned a gun and killed someone has that kind of determination or intelligence. You're taking your individual determination and thoughts and overlaying them onto others. There are plenty of less-capable people out there who have killed a person with a gun, and had they not been able to purchase a gun in the first place, they wouldn't have the know-how to create a "bomb" or "gun" from scratch. If they were determined to do harm, they would likely do so in a route that would be more difficult to cause mass damage. So in that scenario, it's still a case of "mitigation" instead of "deterrence" since we have now prevented multiple extra deaths.

True, but only to a point. That kind of desperation to be heard and to feel powerful will just be pointed in a new area of destruction. There was also the argument that I made afterwards:
Regal Tiger said:
Not necessarily, you can look up just about anything on the internet nowadays. If people didn't have access to guns how many would go for something else, like bombs?

This is a question where I always try to go back to where I was when I was in high school. I wanted to cause serious damage. Gun was easier to get, yes, but if it wasn't available I would have learned how to build a bomb.

Sensationalism is what these kinds of people want, guns are sensational right now. But what if guns weren't sensational? What would make the news? I think that if you were to take away guns then you would suppress the damage at first, but not in the long run. There will be very intelligent and very disturbed people out there that will find a way. Once one person finds a way the media will cover it because it will be something worth covering.

Once covered the media will make sure to go over what happened and how they got what they needed. Once that information becomes public knowledge we're back to square one, in my opinion.

My overall point here was this: sure, I fully believe you'll suppress the damage in the short term but not the long term.

You say that not everybody is that determined no intelligent. I agree. But I also said that there are very intelligent people out there that will find a way. Once they do it's the start of the same exact thing we face now, only different. One intelligent and determined person figures out something completely brand new and then becomes more famous than any other mass shooter in history (in my opinion because it would be brand new). That kind of fame will lead to his methods being exposed. Once his methods are exposed then other people can much more easily follow and even build upon those methods. Then we're back to square one.

We also have a bigger population, more access to guns (many of which are automatic, which didn't exist many years ago), a much larger political divide, and plenty of internal conflict. Comparing certain aspects of the past to the present doesn't necessarily alleviate the problems of today. This was evident in my first example about the American Revolution: if you owned a musket back then, you were on equal footing with the military. Owning an assault rifle today does not put you on equal footing with a tank, or a missle, or a jet fighter.

I agree, but like a few other people have pointed out already: it'll end in a Pyrrhic victory. It won't end without a great enough cost that it's more in line with being a last resort. It's much easier to stamp out a revolution when you're fighting sheep. At least right now they'd be fighting sheep with rifles.

While I don't 100% agree with an argument I heard back in college I do believe there is some truth to it: armed rednecks are our countries greatest defense against invasion. I believe that, that same statement can be said about a hostile tyrannical takeover of some kind.

Though, to be fair, more and more political scandals are coming out everyday and nobody gives a shit. I doubt it even matters anymore, the country has already been taken over lol.

This is a reasonable argument. Gangs are already committing illegal activities regularly, so adding one more "illegal" activity to their list (purchasing illegal guns) isn't going to change much for them. That being said, outlawing guns in the United States would obviously hurt gun manufacturers and cause many of them to close down, lowering the amount of total guns available to the black market (which is where gangs are getting their guns from). So while gangs would still go for guns, there would be less of them in total, and it would reduce the number of gangs with access to guns.

Not necessarily, my arguments to this are:
1) The Government would fuck it up somehow

2) If owning a gun would automatically be illegal then the gangs wouldn't discard 'hot' guns that are tied to crimes anymore. It'd be in their better interests to keep the gun, even if it can be tied to murders. That's why people need new guns, to ditch ones that can be tied to murder. But if owning a gun is already illegal then they'd be far less likely to dump a hot one. If it becomes more difficult to acquire then it'd be a detriment to get rid of. Within that time frame there would be some enterprising individual that would rush in to take America's place for dispensing guns. Crushing the legitimate market would only open up avenues of even greater wealth for anyone willing to take the risk. And there's always going to be someone willing to take the risk, even now with the market being largely controlled by legit retailers.

This was just a terrible idea from the beginning, haha! :p
As is trusting human nature to legally turn in guns or trusting our/any Government to take proper care of it. I trust the people in control to do what's in their best interests, as is the case with the people they're supposed to govern. Turning in guns isn't in line with their own best interests.

Trying to take away guns would result in a bloodbath, this I'm sure of. You'd have too many people in this country seeing red. With the political chaos we're experiencing right now most people are on edge about this kinda stuff already. Attempting to disarm millions of people all across the country would result in all out war. I believe that because you'd be threatening not only some people's culture, but their very lives in some cases (in the country a large number of people hunt illegally just to survive).

In addition, I used to work with my grandpa's fuel company and I talked to a lot of country folk. A surprising number of small town nobodies have hundreds of thousands of dollars worth of ammunition and weaponry buried on their properties. This wealth of firepower being built up over a generation or two.

We're talking about people with nothing better to do than go out and shoot stuff. I'm not going near them to tell them they can't have their fun anymore. It's the same thing as the prohibition against alcohol in my mind.


EDIT:
Franco said:
This is all correct.

Unfortunately, I always fall on the side of "realism" over "idealism", and I have a very high understanding of people and how they act in given situations, so I don't trust the second amendment believers to actually do the "noble" thing and fight to the death with the military when their family members' lives are at stake. Most people will do what is necessary to protect their own life and the lives of their family members, including submitting to the rule of an authoritarian figure who obviously has complete power over them in a situation where resistance is ultimately futile.
- Franco

Subjugation by way of fear will always end in failure. It's a victory in the short term that just leaves the victor open to a counter strike the second anybody sees their chance.

In all honesty, what would likely happen in the real world is this:

Government: let's take away guns

*problem individuals start dying*

*the thoughts and criticisms and warnings of the older generations fall on deaf ears to their kids and grandkids*

*newest generation at the time is brought up truly believing that all guns are evil even when wielded by anyone, even righteous people*

*the people surrender before war is even started*

All it took was for the Government to wait a few generations.

*government still dies*

I truly believe that all governments, no matter how great at one time will always fall into obscurity eventually.


Thanks for the debate, by the way. It's fun to think up new arguments.
 

Big Daddy

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Franco,

I'll say that you made me think very hard about this, more than anybody that I've ever had a discussion with by a big margin. These are actual solid points, some of which I hadn't considered before, but...

Franco said:
unless of course someone on this thread can present some new information that would completely blow my mind and change my perspective! ;)
... since I missed this thread when it came up, I'll just point out some things too... maybe it makes you think about something you hadn't considered before as well!

I'll start by saying that, pragmatically, I don't really care about guns either way. Japan is an extremely safe country with very strict gun laws, but so is Switzerland with a ratio of gun/inhabitant even greater than that of the US. Studies can't show very clear direct correlation with gun deaths vs. gun control, so making an argument on this front for either side is a slippery slope. If anything, the only thing we can conclude is that it's not the guns nor the laws regulating it that increase or decrease the chance of a given individual getting killed by firearms.

It seems to me that most of your problems with guns stems from this:

Franco said:
This is an extremely valid point, and it's where I'll get to the most selfish part of my argument: while you can argue that the death toll increase is relatively irrelevant in terms of total deaths, it's the randomness of which individuals that are involved that disturbs me the most.

I can walk outside in one of the safest places in San Diego, today, and one shooter could immediately end my life. Many other lives that would have otherwise been fine have also ended this way (i.e. the shooter in Santa Barbara).

Which is justifiable since getting shot and killed must be a horrible death and something I constantly worry too, however there are many more things that could kill you while you walk down the street in a 1st world country that are way more likely to happen and just as random.

In think the issue here is that guns are scary and it's very easy to become emotionally invested in that problem and makes you think "get rid of them!" even it makes no rational sense (you think about getting getting killed by guns but you don't think about getting killed by a car, even though cars kill way more and just as randomly; as it currently stands, both are out of your control so it's the way you've framed it in your head).

Even if you try to argue for mitigation, it's still a very problematic argument to make, otherwise they'd solve every other human-driven behavior, or even random causes that humans can prevent to an extent at least (e.g. lightning) that kills people no matter how hard or ineffective it is.

For example, you could protest and say that most of those random things I pointed out that are more likely to kill you are out of your control (e.g. cancer) while deaths by guns is still something you could theoretically control. But gun deaths are still nothing compared to car accident deaths. You could theoretically prohibit alcohol altogether (which on its own kills more than guns) and only allow professional drivers to drive in order to reduce car deaths as much as we could and still have access to decent transportation... but it sounds silly, doesn't it?

Well, but then you can say: cars have an actual utility for our society, while guns have not; their only purpose is supposedly preventing a tyrannical government (I'll address it later) and entertainment (competitive shooting, range, etc). Ignoring completely the fact that it would be extremely anti-republican to prohibit something someone else uses for their own entertainment because you personally do not enjoy it, let's say that argument is on the table.

Well, drowning/suffocation deaths are comparable to gun deaths in the US. Would we have to prohibit everyone from having a pool, since some kid might accidentally run into the pool and drown, in the name of mitigation? Still sounds silly, doesn't it? We could make many more absurd suggestions under the light of the mitigation argument.

Now, going back the to the "preventing tyrannical government" point.

Consider this: during WWII the military power was already much greater than that of the civilians, but Hitler didn't invade Switzerland on his way to France, even though its population was 1/10th of Germany, choosing to go through Belgium with much tougher geography. Why? Swiss people were and remain to this day all armed to their teeth. He quickly invaded countries with poor military or countries with unarmed populations (in fact, he prohibited guns in Germany once he got into power), but left Switzerland alone even though part of the country spoke German and was very rich.

If you want to use mitigation as an argument to prohibit guns, then you can't ignore the fact that having an armed population mitigates the risk of a tyrannical government. No matter how powerful the military is, if millions of people have firearms at home, no tyrant planning a coup would skip the part of his plan where he deals with the rebels. It goes both ways.

That's the problem with the "mitigation-no-matter-what" point. "It if it save lives, then why not?" is not a really a good way to go about it both for the reasons above and because we don't have illimited resources. You might think: well, yeah, but then we could weigh the different risks, outcome and difficulty to implement and decide which one is more optimal to pursue.

Well, I can get behind that "weighed" mitigation. But then you'd have to drop the idea of gun control for at least the next 50 years for the reason Bran D brought up: there are more pressing things to discuss that actually stand a chance of being approved with proven benefits instead of postulating theories based on our opinions on what could possibly happen if we banned guns with no actual data.

The good thing is, after 50 years gun control may not be much of an issue at all; technology may be so good that every citizen is educated and wealthy and gangs cease to exists and nobody needs to kill anymore. Or it could be that technology got rid of all main death causes, but humans are still killing each other making gun control a very easy target to hit on.

But as it stands, its effectiveness is questionable and there is no driving principle that make it obvious that we should limit people's freedom, making it essentially a bad thing just because you'd have to dedicate resources to it.

PS - Context is really important here too. This is only really valid in wealthy areas with low crime rates and a police that does its job; then banning guns is very appealing. San Diego's homicide rate is 2.4/100K inhabitants, which is fairly safe. But in St. Louis (59.3/100K) or rural areas where police isn't around the corner, people would probably be better off with a gun.
 

Franco

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BD,

Almost forgot about this thread! It's been a good one. :)

I'll see if I can address most of your points from my perspective:

Well, drowning/suffocation deaths are comparable to gun deaths in the US. Would we have to prohibit everyone from having a pool, since some kid might accidentally run into the pool and drown, in the name of mitigation? Still sounds silly, doesn't it? We could make many more absurd suggestions under the light of the mitigation argument.

There's still a distinct difference for me here. I don't walk around a mall every day worrying about a pool suddenly falling out of the sky and smothering and drowning me. If I want to avoid a pool, then I avoid pools. There's a clear path to individual mitigation here if you're deathly afraid of pools.

Guns are designed specifically to be carried anywhere and everywhere, and even out of sight. That is what truly makes it a "weapon." You cannot conceal or hide a pool and then toss it on someone to make them drown.

My point of this being that you can control the risks of other means of death by choosing to interact or avoid with those means. I can choose to never swim in a pool if I'm deathly afraid of drowning. But I currently cannot "choose" to be in areas where people will absolutely not have guns to shoot me with. If this was the case, people would be able to avoid shootings quite easily.

Consider this: during WWII the military power was already much greater than that of the civilians, but Hitler didn't invade Switzerland on his way to France, even though its population was 1/10th of Germany, choosing to go through Belgium with much tougher geography. Why? Swiss people were and remain to this day all armed to their teeth. He quickly invaded countries with poor military or countries with unarmed populations (in fact, he prohibited guns in Germany once he got into power), but left Switzerland alone even though part of the country spoke German and was very rich.

Right. I'm still all for having the strongest military in existence. We absolutely should be spending plenty of money on R&D and manufacturing when it comes to weapons for our military so that other countries are deathly afraid of invading us. Which of course leads us to this next point:

If you want to use mitigation as an argument to prohibit guns, then you can't ignore the fact that having an armed population mitigates the risk of a tyrannical government. No matter how powerful the military is, if millions of people have firearms at home, no tyrant planning a coup would skip the part of his plan where he deals with the rebels. It goes both ways.

This is still the crux of my argument being that we no longer live in the times of the American Revolution. No tyrant is afraid of what small weapons millions of civilians keep at home when he has WMDs at his disposal, or tanks or jets or whatever (remember, we are assuming at this point that this tyrant obviously has at least some sizable control of the military; if he doesn't, then what kind of "weak" tyrant are we talking about here that has no means by which to threaten the people? At that point, he's not a tyrant at all, and just a madman with no actual firepower)

If I'm a tyrant today and I have 100% control over our military, the only "rebels" I'm worried about are the ones directly under my command. I have very little concern over the millions of citizens with only handguns and small firearms at their disposal. I am much more concerned with the generals and military leaders who have the nuclear launch codes as well as direct command of naval and air fleets.

Well, I can get behind that "weighed" mitigation. But then you'd have to drop the idea of gun control for at least the next 50 years for the reason Bran D brought up: there are more pressing things to discuss that actually stand a chance of being approved with proven benefits instead of postulating theories based on our opinions on what could possibly happen if we banned guns with no actual data.

This is actually already a flawed way of thinking about this because you're saying that there are no "proven benefits" when the inverse is already true: there are already proven negatives. We are losing lives to guns -- lives that absolutely would not have been lost without them.

Remember, the argument here isn't that we are better now with guns than we are without guns: that argument is already completely false as other nations without guns are actually faring quite well in terms of homicide rates and violence. The argument here is that we protect our future from a tyrannical government by sacrificing lives now to protect an entire country in the future.

To make an argument that we would somehow be worse off RIGHT this moment without guns is absolutely absurd because (1) we have no data that confirms that since we've always had guns and (2) the purpose of these guns is to protect us against something that has not happened yet. The argument you would have to make is that tyranny would happen shortly after removing guns from the population, in which case it's a fair "gamble" to make. But keep in mind that that's exactly what it is: a gamble. We have no data currently showing what the United States would be like without an armed populace.

The good thing is, after 50 years gun control may not be much of an issue at all; technology may be so good that every citizen is educated and wealthy and gangs cease to exists and nobody needs to kill anymore. Or it could be that technology got rid of all main death causes, but humans are still killing each other making gun control a very easy target to hit on.

Technology could be our savior, or it could be the end of us. That's certainly one way of thinking about it, haha!

But as it stands, its effectiveness is questionable and there is no driving principle that make it obvious that we should limit people's freedom, making it essentially a bad thing just because you'd have to dedicate resources to it.

It's an upfront cost. You'd have to dedicate resources to "removing" it, just like we have to currently dedicate extra resources in the form of ICE because we've already allowed too many illegal immigrants into the country. Even if the country makes a mistake, it doesn't mean you can't try to go back and "fix" that mistake. That is currently what Trump is trying to do with increased action by ICE; that obviously costs resources and manpower as well.

PS - Context is really important here too. This is only really valid in wealthy areas with low crime rates and a police that does its job; then banning guns is very appealing. San Diego's homicide rate is 2.4/100K inhabitants, which is fairly safe. But in St. Louis (59.3/100K) or rural areas where police isn't around the corner, people would probably be better off with a gun.

That's a bit of a paradoxical situation though, is it not? For all we know, it could be the presence of guns that is driving up the homicide rate in St. Louis.

I'd much rather deal with a stranger coming at me with a knife than a stranger pointing a gun at my face. And I'd much rather have to encounter a stranger with a knife while only having my own knife -- there's a much greater chance that help will arrive before things get too ugly. Things can end in seconds in a gun fight.

More food for thought! :)

- Franco
 

Big Daddy

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Huh, I realized something funny: we essentially feel the same way and we're trying to prevent absurd gambles that might lead to nowhere; the only difference is what we think the gamble is. You think it's a gamble that people would be able to protect themselves against a tyrant and I think it's a gamble that banning guns would reduce deaths since we have no evidence of that being the case consistently across the board.

I think you feel like this because, as it stands, you may take every precaution in your power to avoid being killed by guns and in the end it might still happen; it's just too random. However, that only becomes the most pressing concern of yours when you happen to live to live in a fairly wealthy/safe place and most other problems are already tamed. Then the biggest fear becomes the weirdo with an AR-15 in the mall.

(Now even in those circumstances it's an irrational fear because there are things that kill way more. Drowning wasn't a good example but cars are. You don't think about that even you are in a bus, riding a taxi or even walking down the street.)

In that case, banning guns might prevent or demotivate that weirdo (which in fairly safe places is the most pressing concern), yes. However, in cities like Detroit where crime is rampant, banning guns won't take all guns off the street. It'll only the take the guns of the good citizens who wouldn't kill in the first place (criminals would still steal/smuggle guns) which in turn would make crime rates skyrocket since it'd give criminals disproportionate power.

I wish I could find a paper I read once about this -- but essentially people that are committing crimes don't care about committing more crimes or jail. The researchers found out that they were more afraid of death and that people with guns were much more of a concern than police because the police didn't shoot to kill. Now, once there aren't many criminals left, it makes sense to consider a gun ban.

I say that because I've lived in areas with stricter gun control and a lot of crime and in places with stricter gun control that were super safe. In the first case, I'd feel way more secure having a gun myself or knowing that other good citizens had them, not only in case someone needs to react but because it lowers the risk of a criminal attempting something (mitigation). In the second case, I could care less about guns too, and I knew the chance of someone (even a criminal) having a gun would be fairly low.

I agree at some point it's probably a good idea to ban guns... but only when that city/area/country is rich and safe enough and their police/public services works so well that makes it obvious it's the next issue to tackle, because if there's one thing we can conclude from research is that gun control doesn't affect homicide rate that much.

If I had to put a number, based on countries like Switzerland where the rate is 0.5/100K, I'd say in cities with a homicide rate of 1.5/100K or maybe even 2/100K people don't need a gun since they'd be way less likely to face a criminal vs. a weirdo with a machine gun (though that's mostly an American thing; in Europe the trends seems to be bombs and car run overs so we can't know for sure if the homicides due to fucked up people would change even though guns deaths might).
 

Franco

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BD,

I think you feel like this because, as it stands, you may take every precaution in your power to avoid being killed by guns and in the end it might still happen; it's just too random. However, that only becomes the most pressing concern of yours when you happen to live to live in a fairly wealthy/safe place and most other problems are already tamed. Then the biggest fear becomes the weirdo with an AR-15 in the mall.

Correct.

(Now even in those circumstances it's an irrational fear because there are things that kill way more. Drowning wasn't a good example but cars are. You don't think about that even you are in a bus, riding a taxi or even walking down the street.)

It's not the fear that bothers me though; it's the fact that there's no (proven) net benefit to having guns right now. So when you try to compare that to a bus, or a taxi, or a car... that doesn't deter my argument because those things do have a net benefit.

Think about all of the lives that have been lost to vehicle accidents over the years -- and yet you don't see people marching around saying "ban vehicles!!" This is obviously because people realize there is an enormous net benefit to having vehicles, and we accept the risk that comes with that net benefit of lives potentially being lost. So I guess what I am saying is that I do not accept the "potential" net benefit of guns somehow saving us from a tyrannical future -- therefore, all we are experiencing with guns at the moment is the net "cons" of having them, which is people using them to take innocent lives.

In the case of guns, you are essentially accepting all of the negatives right now for the potential that there will be a enormous benefit in the future. And while that probably WAS the case back during the American Revolution, I do not believe it is the case now, and I do not believe it is the case with this style of government that we have.

In my humble opinion, if this country fails, it will not be because of a tyrannical takeover from within. In that regard, our Constitution has gone to great lengths to prevent that type of disaster. It will be because socialist and far left-wing priorities have overtaken the need to remain a "superpower" to fend off would-be invaders. In other words, we are more likely to be conquered by another nation than conquered by an internal tyrant.

I hope this clears up where I'm coming from! :)

- Franco
 

Big Daddy

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707
Franco said:
It's not the fear that bothers me though; it's the fact that there's no (proven) net benefit to having guns right now.

Yeah, it's a fair point. I understand where you're coming from. It's because of that that I think it might be a good idea to ban guns once the education level, unemployment rate and police effectiveness of a city/state are good enough that they really aren't needed anymore. I doubt you'd miss your gun in Tokyo.

You talk about the tyrannical government, but having lived in rough areas and knowing the "man, I wish I had a gun to defend myself in case shit happens" feeling I can tell you most people probably don't think about some unnamed tyrant when they talk about guns being a self-defense tool.

But in any case, if you want guns to go away, you can't just ban them. First you must make them absolutely unnecessary by taking care of the other, more important factors that drive crime rates up in poorer/more violent neighborhoods/cities/states.

If you just ban guns the only ones handing their guns back will be the good citizens which in unsafe cities is recipe for disaster. Even in San Diego, for example, there must be areas safer than the city avg of 2.4 homicides per 100K people. But if you ban gun in those areas, then you'd make it absurdly easy for criminals to just go there with a gun and have a day.

One, the ban must cover a large enough geographical area so that it makes extremely costly to go get guns somewhere else. But two, if you do that before taking care of crime extensively in those areas they'll continue uneducated, unemployed and with a large selection of guns since their guns are for the most part smuggled and just go to where it's easy and where the money's at.

If Trump's wall can really prevent illegal guns/drugs from getting across the border coupled with good policies that actually take care of crime, it might be a reality in 20 years.
 
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